Gujarat's
"development" – the centerpiece of the campaign by the Bharatiya
Janata Party and its prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi – hardly stands
on firm ground. This is particularly evident when analyzing other States with
comparable growth rates. In this special essay, Martha C. Nussbaum points out
that the Modi-model of growth and governance has led to Gujarat lagging behind
other Indian States on critical indicators, and this may prove inadequate for
India’s future as well.
This
election season has seen a lot of talk about “development”. The Bharatiya
Janata Party's (BJP) prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi is touted as a
hero of development policy because of his record in promoting economic growth
in Gujarat. Too seldom, however, are questions asked about what the most
pertinent measure of development is, when it is the lives of people that we are
considering. So it’s time to rehearse again the arguments that have led leading
development thinkers all over the world, from the United Nations Development
Programme to the World Bank, and including the influential report on
development and quality of life by a commission convened by President Sarkozy
of France, to reject growth as an adequate measure of development and to
prefer, in its place, what is now known as the “Human Development” paradigm.
First, I’ll discuss the issues in a general way. Then I’ll turn to Gujarat,
showing that, although the growth-based paradigm does indeed give Narendra Modi
high marks, the Human Development paradigm, by contrast, shows his record as
only middling, far worse than that of states such as Tamil Nadu and Kerala,
which have been preoccupied, rightly, with the distribution of health care and
education. Given the high economic status of Gujarat, one might conclude that
Modi’s record is not just middling but downright bad.
As
the distinguished economist Mahbub Ul Haq wrote in 1990, in the first of the
“Human Development Reports” of the United Nations Development Programme: “The
real wealth of a nation is its people. And the purpose of development is to
create an enabling environment for people to enjoy long, healthy, and creative
lives. This simple but powerful truth is too often forgotten in the pursuit of
material and financial wealth.” This is not a partisan political statement; it
is an evident truth of human life. Development is about people and their lives.
Rightly understood, it is a normative concept: it means that those lives are
getting better. So how would one accurately measure that important concept?
The
growth-based model of development measures development simply by looking to
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita. First of all, even if we want an
average measure that is a single number, a strategy I’ll shortly call into
question – it’s far from obvious that average GDP is the right number. The
Sarkozy Commission report argues that average household income would get us
closer to seeing how people are really doing. The GDP doesn’t as adequately
capture the daily perspective, because the profits of foreign investment can be
repatriated by the foreign country in ways that don’t necessarily change the
lives of the people in the nation in which they invest.
Furthermore,
a crude measure like average GDP is a measure of the stuff that is around. It
does not tell us who has it or what it is doing. Above all, it tells us nothing
about distribution. It can thus give high marks to nations or States that
contain alarming inequalities. For example, South Africa under apartheid used
to shoot to the top of the development tables, despite the fact that a large
majority of its people were unable to enjoy the fruits of the nation’s overall
prosperity. So too with States within nations: a high average GDP is compatible
with enormous inequalities, and attention to average GDP positively distracts
attention from those inequalities.
Another
shortcoming of approaches based on economic growth is that, even when
distribution is factored in, they fail to examine aspects of the quality of a
human life that are not very well correlated with growth. Research and
real-life experimentation show clearly that promoting growth does not
automatically improve people’s health, their education, their opportunities for
political participation, or the opportunities of women to protect their bodily
integrity from rape and domestic violence. And since we are talking of growth
in the world’s largest democracy, we might well ask for yet more: the
cultivation of informed and critical citizenship, the ability to engage in
public debate with active curiosity and trained critical capacities, not merely
some dogmas learned by rote.
For
such reasons, development thinkers all over the world have increasingly
gravitated to what is known as the Human Development Paradigm, which measures
development achievements by looking at “capabilities,” or substantial
opportunities, that people have only when public policy has put them in a
position of effective freedom of choice in crucial areas of their lives.
That’s
vague and abstract. Nor is the Human Development Index, which is typically the
first table in the annual Human Development Reports, the true alternative
proposal. The HDI, an aggregate measure that includes education, GDP, and
longevity in accordance with a complex formula, was always simply an
attention-getting device. By placing the accent on education and health, the
HDI shows that new rankings emerge, different from those produced by attention
to GDP alone. But the HDI was always supposed to be an appetizer, so to speak,
not the entire meal. Piqued by the appetizer, one should then read on, and
several hundred pages of tables would then report many other “human
capabilities” – and their absence.
Amartya
Sen has preferred not to enumerate the capabilities that ought to be most
central for planning, although in practice, by choice of examples, and by his
lengthy discussion of India’s achievements and failures, he does reveal his
view that the equal distribution of education and health care and the
amelioration of inequalities between male and female, rich and poor, ought to
take centre stage in planning, along with the cultivation of a truly free press
and trained capacities for public debate. I myself have done things a bit
differently, though in a similar spirit. I have proposed a tentative working
list of the “Central Human Capabilities” that can serve as a template for
international public discussion. The capabilities on my list should, I argue,
be protected somehow in national constitutions, up to some reasonable threshold
level. Here is the working list I have proposed, in my books Women and Human
Development, Frontiers of Justice, and, most recently, Creating Capabilities:
The Central Human Capabilities
1.
Life.
Being able to live to the end of a human life of normal length; not dying
prematurely, or before one's life is so reduced as to be not worth living.
2.
Bodily
Health. Being able to have good health, including reproductive health; to be
adequately nourished; to have adequate shelter.
3.
Bodily
Integrity. Being able to move freely from place to place; to be secure against
violent assault, including sexual assault and domestic violence; having
opportunities for sexual satisfaction and for choice in matters of
reproduction.
4.
Senses,
Imagination, and Thought. Being able to use the senses, to imagine, think, and
reason – and to do these things in a “truly human” way, a way informed and
cultivated by an adequate education, including, but by no means limited to,
literacy and basic mathematical and scientific training. Being able to use
imagination and thought in connection with experiencing and producing works and
events of one’s own choice, religious, literary, musical, and so forth. Being
able to use one’s mind in ways protected by guarantees of freedom of expression
with respect to both political and artistic speech, and freedom of religious
exercise. Being able to have pleasurable experiences and to avoid
non-beneficial pain.
5.
Emotions.
Being able to have attachments to things and people outside ourselves; to love
those who love and care for us, to grieve at their absence; in general, to
love, to grieve, to experience longing, gratitude, and justified anger. Not
having one’s emotional development blighted by fear and anxiety. (Supporting
this capability means supporting forms of human association that can be shown
to be crucial in their development.)
6.
Practical
Reason. Being able to form a conception of the good and to engage in critical
reflection about the planning of one’s life. (This entails protection for the
liberty of conscience and religious observance.)
7.
Affiliation.
a). Being able to
live with and toward others, to recognise and show concern for other human
beings, to engage in various forms of social interaction; to be able to imagine
the situation of another. (Protecting this capability means protecting
institutions that constitute and nourish such forms of affiliation, and also
protecting the freedom of assembly and political speech.)
b.) Having the
social bases of self-respect and non-humiliation; being able to be treated as a
dignified being whose worth is equal to that of others. This entails provisions
of non-discrimination on the basis of race, sex, sexual orientation, ethnicity,
caste, religion, national origin.
8. Other Species. Being able to live with
concern for and in relation to animals, plants, and the world of nature.
9.
Play. Being able to laugh, to play, to enjoy
recreational activities.
10.
Control over one’s Environment.
a). Political.
Being able to participate effectively in political choices that govern one’s
life; having the right of political participation, protections of free speech
and association.
b.) Material.
Being able to hold property (both land and movable goods), and having property
rights on an equal basis with others; having the right to seek employment on an
equal basis with others; having the freedom from unwarranted search and
seizure. In work, being able to work as a human being, exercising practical
reason and entering into meaningful relationships of mutual recognition with
other workers.
Among
people who favour the Human Development framework, there are many current
discussions about whether a list is important, about what should be on it,
about what an adequate threshold level of each capability is, and so forth. The
impressive book Disadvantage, by Jonathan Wolff and Avner De-Shalit, has used
my list as a measure of disadvantage for new immigrant groups, and the authors
conclude that the list performs well, though they suggest some additions. These
are in a sense matters of detail. What is important is to shift the space of
comparison from growth alone to the framework of human opportunity, with a
strong focus on distribution and social equality.
Now
let us return to Narendra Modi’s Gujarat. Measured by the growth paradigm, its
achievements are strong indeed. The growth rate of per capita SDP (State
Domestic Product) between 2000 and 2011 averages 8.2 per cent, higher than any
other State excepting Uttarakhand (10.0). Other high performers, close behind
Gujarat, are Tamil Nadu (7.5), Kerala (7.0), and Maharashtra (7.5).1
If,
however, we begin to examine distribution, things immediately look very
different. Gujarat’s rate of rural poverty is 26.7 per cent, of urban poverty
17.9 per cent; the combined poverty rate is 23.0 per cent. Of the high economic
performers, Maharashtra does worse, but Uttarakhand, Tamil Nadu, and Kerala do
much better, with combined rates of poverty of 18 per cent, 17.1 per cent and
12.0 per cent respectively.2 Moreover, the following States, not such stellar
economic performers, have lower combined rates of poverty than Gujarat: Andhra
Pradesh, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, and Punjab.
Let’s
now look more closely. Gujarat has life expectancy at birth of 64.9 years for
males, 69.0 years for females. The figures for Tamil Nadu are 70.9 (female) and
67.1 (male), for Kerala 76.9 (female) and 71.5 (male).3 Lest we ascribe these
differences to climate or genes, quite a few other States also outperform
Gujarat: these include Maharashtra, Haryana, Punjab, Karnataka, and West
Bengal. In infant mortality and maternal mortality, Gujarat also lags well
behind the two southern States and quite a few others. In maternal mortality,
indeed, Gujarat has the high rate of 148 deaths per 100,000 live births, as
compared with just 81 for Kerala and 97 for Tamil Nadu.4 So: comparable growth
achievements, utterly disparate health outcomes.
The
health data for Gujarat are distressing in general, particularly given the
State’s wealth; but signs of discrimination against females in the data I have
cited are equally disturbing. The same discrepancy registers in the sex ratio.
Roughly speaking, demographers estimate that when equal nutrition and health
care are present, and when sex-selective abortion is absent, we should expect
102 females to 100 males. Alone in India, Kerala comes close to this balanced
ratio, at 1,084 women to 1,000 males: it’s the only State where females
outnumber males. But in Gujarat the figure is unusually low: 918 to 1,000. Only
a few States do worse: Bihar, Haryana, Jammu and Kashmir, Punjab, and Uttar Pradesh.
That’s it. Even Rajasthan, with its long history of discrimination against
females, performs better, with 926 females to 1,000 males. And most States are
way above that, though below Kerala: in Tamil Nadu, for example, the figure is
995, in Odisha 978, in Andhra Pradesh 992.5 This is not a problem that
originates with government: its roots are complex and cultural. But what has
the Gujarat State government done to address it? We may search for an answer,
but we will not find one.
Turning
to education, it’s the same story, only more so. The literacy rate (of people
above age 7) in Gujarat is 70.7 per cent for females, 87.2 per cent for males;
in Kerala the figures are 92 and 96 per cent respectively, in Tamil Nadu, 73.9
and 86.8 (showing a relative failure of that State in comparison with Kerala).
Once again, the aggregate achievement of Gujarat is weak, but the gender
discrepancy is particularly striking. The proportion of non-literate persons in
the age group 15-19 is, in Gujarat, 16.3 for females, 7.4 for males; in Kerala,
0.9 for females, 0.8 for males; in Tamil Nadu, 2.5 for females, 1.3 for males
(so the shortfall in earlier years is made up later on). The following States
also have higher female adolescent literacy than Gujarat: Assam, Haryana, Himachal
Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir, Karnataka, Maharashtra, Punjab, Uttarakhand, and
West Bengal. Turning to the proportion of the population who have had at least
eight years of schooling: in Gujarat, it is 52.6 per cent for women, 61.2 per
cent for men; in Kerala, 93.6 per cent for women, 87.1 per cent for men, in
Tamil Nadu 74.4 per cent for women, 73.6 per cent for men.6 Other high
performers are Andhra Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Karnataka, Maharashtra,
Punjab, and Uttarakhand.
That’s
just the bare bones of education. If we want to know how well students are
equipped by their education to take part in public debate, we will find much to
distress us all over India, with the infamous and continued dominance of rote
learning. But Gujarat’s schools have a special tradition of encouraging
groupthink and docility, while discouraging critical thinking. Is this
reputation unearned? If not, what steps are being taken to promote the active
and critical use of the mind? Even if we should decide to ignore citizenship,
as we should not, the skill of critical thinking is essential for a healthy
business culture, as China and Singapore have understood, and they have both
undertaken recent reforms to inject much more critical thinking into their
curricula. What does Gujarat say? Quite apart from the fact that Modi has not
even apologised for the depiction of Adolf Hitler as a hero in State textbooks,
despite years of national and international protest, he has not even come
forward to describe the steps his allegedly forward-looking State has taken or
is planning to emulate those business models and, at the same time, to foster
active citizenship. We can surely forgive underperformance, since correcting
such deficiencies takes time. But if the leader does not confront and acknowledge
the deficiencies and formulate a constructive plan to address them, things are
unlikely to change for the better.
What
is the explanation for Gujarat’s low performance in health and education, in
contrast with Tamil Nadu and Kerala, which have comparable rates of economic
growth? Clearly, it is the superior quality of public services, particularly in
health care and education, in those two States. This is a story often told, and
the remarkable fact that Kerala has achieved a life expectancy comparable to
that of inner-city New York is by now world-famous (shameful for the U. S.,
glorious for Kerala). Kerala’s stellar achievements in literacy and in gender
equality are also discussed everywhere, and Tamil Nadu comes very close. The
history of the south is different from that of Gujarat, and many aspects of
culture and tradition are different, so one is comparing against a different
baseline. But one thing that surely helps is that the south has resolutely
refused the politics of religious division, which surely distracts attention
from other matters.
Nobody
could expect Narendra Modi to replicate immediately the impressive systems of
public education and public health (for example Tamil Nadu’s Primary Health
Centres) that have taken years to emerge in Tamil Nadu and Kerala. Some
achievements, such as the midday meal, which originated in Tamil Nadu, can be
quickly adopted by other States; but the larger infrastructure in both health
and education takes time to create. But then Modi should admit failure, not
proclaim success, and he should acknowledge the work that remains to be done.
One would expect to hear a constructive plan for addressing Gujarat’s
development failures to date, and this has not been forthcoming. One would also
expect praise for organisations such as SEWA in Ahmedabad, founded by the
path-breaking activist Ela Bhatt, an organisation that has done so much to
address problems of poverty and gender inequality. But Modi praises only
business entrepreneurs and not those who, with vision and considerable courage,
are addressing some of Gujarat’s most urgent problems of poverty and
inequality. Bhatt has won the Padma Bhushan and many other awards (including
the Benton Medal for public service from my own university, The University of
Chicago); she has been honoured all over the world, but not by the Chief
Minister of her own State, who evinces in his neglect – not just of a person
but of the issues she represents – an indifference to the struggles of
Gujarat’s poorest and its women.
India
will not shine without great strides in education and public health. More or
less everyone knows this, even when they talk only about growth most of the
time. A nation needs a healthy and educated work force if it is to do well into
the future. But of course health and education are more than tools for
business: they are also essential tools of democratic self-governance. A
leadership with a bad record on these issues – and, what’s more, with no shame
about this record or public resolve to improve things – is likely to prove
disastrous for India’s future.
References:
1.
This
information is available at data.worldbank.org. Also see Drèze, Jean, and
Amartya Sen’s book An Uncertain Glory: India and Its Contradictions, Princeton
University Press, 2013. The book contains a comprehensive statistical appendix
that draws on the World Development Indicators and other Indian government
sources.
2.
See
Table A.3 in the Statistical Appendix in Drèze, Jean, and Amartya Sen, . 2013.
An Uncertain Glory: India and Its Contradictions,: Princeton University Press,
2013. Drèze and Sen have used poverty estimates from 2009-10 made available by
the Planning Commission. There are competing estimates of poverty in India. The
Planning Commission has used the Tendulkar Method of estimating poverty by
using a Mixed Reference Period. Data for 2011-12, using the Tendulkar Method
can be found online at http://planningcommission.nic.in/news/pre_pov2307.pdf.
The Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative has released its own data,
which can be found here:
http://www.ophi.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Country-Brief-India.pdf. In addition
to this, the Reserve Bank of India also releases poverty indicators that can be
found online at www.rbi.org.in.
3.
Life
expectancy at birth data are calculated from the Sample Registration System
data for 2012 by Drèze and Sen. The details can be found in their co-authored
book, An Uncertain Glory: India and Its Contradictions,: Princeton University
Press, 2013.
4.
Other
related indicators for Indian States from 2012 can be found
athttp://www.censusindia.gov.in/Vital_Statistics/SRS_Bulletins/SRS_Bulletin-October_2012.pdf.
For more recent indicators please visit the website of the Indian Census at
http://www.censusindia.gov.in/Vital_Statistics/SRS_Bulletins/Bulletins.aspx.
Based on the Sample Registration System data for 2011. Also see the table on
Mortality and Fertility in the Statistical Appendix contained in Drèze and
Sen’s An Uncertain Glory: India and Its Contradictions, Princeton University
Press, 2013.
5.
Sex
ratio figures are from provisional population totals furnished by the Census of
India 2011. A detailed Excel file titled “Population and Sex Ratio by
Residence” that contains data on rural, urban and State-wise sex ratios can be
found here:http://censusindia.gov.in/2011-prov-results/paper2/prov_results_paper2_india.html
6.
See
the table on Literacy and Education in the Statistical Appendix in Drèze and
Sen's An Uncertain Glory: India and Its Contradictions, Princeton University
Press, 2013. The figures are based on latest data from the Census of India’s
provisional population totals, 2011.
(Martha C.
Nussbaum is Ernst Freund Distinguished Service Professor of Law and Ethics,
University of Chicago. She is on the Steering Committee of the new University
of Chicago Center in New Delhi, and is also a member of the Board of Advisors
of The Hindu Centre for Politics and Public Policy.)
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